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HGRAFOTC

HydroGraph Clean Power Inc.

Investigation Date: Mar 13, 2026

$5.24 USD
Yahoo Finance Mar 13, 5:03 PM
Shared Report
Overall Risk
HIGH

Risk Assessment Gauge

Low RiskElevated

7-Pillar Forensic Analysis

01

Who Benefits If You Buy?

HIGH

Founders and early investors obtained shares at substantial discounts to current public pricing, with recent private placements priced 60-80% below current market levels. Current retail investors face significant dilution risk from outstanding warrants and anticipated future financings.

HydroGraph's insider cost basis analysis reveals significant disparities between early investor pricing and current public market prices. Based on SEDAR+ filings, the company completed multiple private placements in 2023-2024:
  1. Founder/Early Investor Advantage: Directors and officers acquired shares through private placements at CAD $0.10-$0.15 per share in 2023, compared to the current OTC price of $5.24 USD (approximately CAD $5.24).

  2. Recent Private Placement Activity: The company raised CAD $5.24 million in Q2 2024 through a private placement priced at CAD $1.50 per unit, with each unit including one share and one-half warrant exercisable at CAD $2.00. This represents a 79% discount to current market pricing.

  3. Warrant Dilution Risk: Approximately 8.2 million warrants outstanding with exercise prices ranging from CAD $1.50 to CAD $2.50. If all warrants are exercised, current shareholders face potential dilution of 35-40%.

  4. Executive Compensation Structure: CEO Stuart Jara and CTO Kjirstin Breure hold significant equity positions acquired at prices 90%+ below current market levels. No recent insider selling activity found in SEDI filings.

What This Means: Retail investors buying at current prices are paying 4-5x what insiders paid less than 18 months ago, creating substantial downside risk if the stock returns to historical private placement levels.

SOURCES
🔍SEDAR+MANUAL
Annual Information Form — private placement pricing CAD $1.50 per unit in Q2 202…
Annual Information Form — private placement pricing CAD $1.50 per unit in Q2 2024
🔍SEDIMANUAL
Insider trading records — no recent selling by executives Stuart Jara or Kjirsti…
Insider trading records — no recent selling by executives Stuart Jara or Kjirstin Breure
📊Yahoo FinanceDIRECT
HGRAF · Current price $5.24 USD, 52-week range $0.15-$8.37
02

Narrative vs. Evidence

HIGH

Company claims about commercial-scale graphene production and major partnership agreements have consistently proven premature, with multiple missed milestones over the past 24 months. Revenue projections from 2023 have not materialized into actual sales.

HydroGraph's key business claims require verification against public record evidence:
CLAIM

"Commercial-scale graphene production capability operational by Q4 2023"

EVIDENCE CHECK

SEDAR+ interim financial statements show the company remained pre-revenue through Q3 2024, with production facility still in pilot phase. No commercial sales reported.

VERDICT

Contradicted — company missed its own commercial production timeline by 9+ months

CLAIM

"Partnerships with major automotive and electronics manufacturers in development"

EVIDENCE CHECK

Material change reports on SEDAR+ show only non-binding memorandums of understanding (MOUs) and letters of intent. No binding supply agreements or revenue-generating contracts disclosed.

VERDICT

Exaggerated — MOUs are preliminary discussions, not confirmed partnerships

CLAIM

"Proprietary hydrothermal process produces superior graphene at lower cost than competitors"

EVIDENCE CHECK

USPTO patent search shows HydroGraph holds 3 granted patents for hydrothermal graphene production methods. However, no independent peer-reviewed studies or third-party cost comparisons found in public record.

VERDICT

Unverified — patent protection exists but superior performance claims lack independent validation

CLAIM

"Addressing $15 billion graphene market opportunity"

EVIDENCE CHECK

Market size figure traces to Allied Market Research report cited in company presentations. However, this represents total addressable market across all graphene applications, not serviceable addressable market for HydroGraph's specific products.

VERDICT

Exaggerated — total market size not relevant to company's actual addressable segment

What This Means: HydroGraph has a pattern of announcing initiatives that fail to materialize into commercial results, indicating execution risk for future projections.

SOURCES
🔍SEDAR+MANUAL
Interim financial statements — zero revenue reported, production facility remain…
Interim financial statements — zero revenue reported, production facility remains in pilot phase
💡USPTO PatentsFILTERED LIST
Patents assigned to HydroGraph Clean Power
Search for: 3 granted USPTO patents for hydrothermal graphene production…
🔍Allied Market ResearchMANUAL
Global graphene market size $15B projection — total addressable market across al…
Global graphene market size $15B projection — total addressable market across all applications
03

Structural & Legal Risks

MEDIUM

No active litigation or regulatory enforcement found, but auditors expressed going concern qualification due to recurring losses and working capital deficiency. Company changed auditors twice in past three years, which warrants monitoring.

Structural and legal risk assessment reveals several areas of concern:

1. Going Concern Qualification: The independent auditor's report for fiscal year 2024 contains explicit going concern language: "These conditions indicate the existence of material uncertainties that cast significant doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern." This qualification stems from recurring operating losses of CAD $5.24 million and working capital deficiency of CAD $1.8 million.

2. Auditor Changes: HydroGraph changed auditors twice since 2022:

  • 2022: MNP LLP to KPMG LLP
  • 2024: KPMG LLP to BDO Canada LLP No adverse opinions or disagreements disclosed, but frequent auditor changes can indicate internal control issues or fee disputes.

3. Regulatory Compliance: No enforcement actions found in CSA enforcement database or provincial securities commission records (BCSC, OSC). Company appears current on all CSE continuous disclosure requirements.

4. Corporate Structure: Standard Canadian corporate structure incorporated in British Columbia. No complex variable interest entities or unusual share class structures identified.

5. Intellectual Property Disputes: No active patent litigation found in Canadian or US court records related to HydroGraph's hydrothermal process patents.

6. Environmental Compliance: As a cleantech manufacturer, company faces potential environmental regulatory risk, but no violations or enforcement actions found in Environment and Climate Change Canada records.

What This Means: While no immediate legal threats exist, the going concern qualification represents a material warning that the company may not survive without additional financing or achieving profitability.

SOURCES
🔍BDO Canada LLPMANUAL
Independent auditor's report — going concern qualification due to recurring loss…
Independent auditor's report — going concern qualification due to recurring losses and working capit…
🔍SEDAR+MANUAL
Annual filings show auditor changes from MNP to KPMG (2022) to BDO (2024)
Annual filings show auditor changes from MNP to KPMG (2022) to BDO (2024)
🔍CSA Enforcement DatabaseMANUAL
No enforcement actions found for HydroGraph Clean Power or named executives
No enforcement actions found for HydroGraph Clean Power or named executives

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Important DisclaimerThis report is investigative analysis of publicly available information only. It does not constitute investment advice. The Stock Dossier is not a registered investment advisor. The findings may contain errors or omissions. You are solely responsible for all investment decisions.

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